Sean McVay has been lauded for his aggressiveness all season. Bill Belichick went for it on 4th down twice in the AFC Championship game victory over Kansas City. We expected we’d see some aggressive 4th down play calling during Super Bowl LIII, especially around midfield. Man, were we wrong.

Of the 12 4th downs of 5 yards or less to go (including the punt formation delay of game by the Rams), there was only one attempt to go for it, a failed attempt by New England on 4th & 1. We saw six high-confidence errors (HCE) in the game, four by New England and two by Los Angeles. All but one of these came from beyond the team’s own 45-yard line.

Here’s a recap of Super Bowl LIII’s biggest 4th down errors.

  1. New England 4th & 4 @ LAR-44, 4th quarter, 14:57 remaining, tied 3-3
    • Edj Play (Pass): NE GWC 53.5%
    • Actual Play (Punt): NE GWC 46.8%
    • Difference: -6.7%
  1. New England 4th & 2 @ NE-49, 3rd quarter, 10:14 remaining, NE leading 3-0
    • Edj Play (Rush): NE GWC 63.7%
    • Actual Play (Punt): NE GWC 57.2%
    • Difference: -6.5%
  1. Los Angeles 4th & 3 @ NE-42, 1st quarter, 3:32 remaining, tied 0-0
    • Edj Play (Rush): LAR GWC 61.0%
    • Actual Play (Punt): LAR GWC 55.6%
    • Difference: -5.4%
  1. New England 4th & 5 @ LAR-40, 1st quarter, 0:18 remaining, tied 0-0
    • Edj Play (Pass): NE GWC 46.1%
    • Actual Play (Punt): NE GWC 41.9%
    • Difference: -4.2%
  1. New England 4th & 2 @ NE-25, 2nd quarter, 6:24 remaining, NE leading 3-0
    • Edj Play (Rush): NE GWC 52.4%
    • Actual Play (Punt): NE GWC 48.5%
    • Difference: -3.9%
  1. Los Angeles 4th & 5 @ LAR-46, 3rd quarter, 13:05 remaining, Rams trailing 0-3
    • Edj Play (Pass): LAR GWC 42.3%
    • Actual Play (Punt): LAR GWC 39.6%
    • Difference: -2.7%